News and events

07.24.2024

STILL NEUTRAL GOING INTO THE SUMMER

Our tactical position remains NEUTRAL. Despite increasing challenges such as positioning, seasonality, and earnings, we anticipate the global benchmark to remain near current levels.

​​​The global benchmark keeps recording new all-times highs. The MSCI AC World  rebounded c. 10% from mid April’s lows outpacing the previous peak recorded at the end of March 2024 (Figure 1).

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In our view, the last rebound in equities was mainly led by more dovish expectations on next Fed moves and still resilient EPS estimates. Since May the market has steadily priced around two FFR cuts by 2024 and added four additional cuts in 2025 (Figure 2) boosting the equities’ multiple expansion (Figure 3). 




We remain NEUTRAL tactically. Despite increasing challenges such as positioning, seasonality, and earnings, we anticipate the global benchmark to remain near current levels.


Cosimo Recchia

Senior Equity Strategist

Investment Research



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