News and events

11.20.2024

Trump Euphoria

We continue to believe potential positive catalysts will outweigh the risks associated with high valuations.

We reiterate our LONG stance. We continue to believe potential positive catalysts will outweigh the risks associated with high valuations. 

Tactically, LONG on US equities remains our strongest conviction call.  We have upgraded Japan to LONG (from SHORT) and downgraded Europe excluding UK and UK to SHORT (from NEUTRAL). 

At the sector level, we continue to advise a pronounced tilt towards cyclical assets, with a balanced barbell approach to style. 

Strategically, we maintain an OVERWEIGHT stance, anticipating a 15% market gains in 2025 (vs. earlier non-committal stance) driven by around 10% earnings growth and multiple expansion. Thus, we see any market dips as buying opportunities.  

Regionally, we strategically favour the US over the Rest of the World due to a stronger macroeconomic backdrop. Our US GDP growth baseline aligns with our forecast that the US EPS will grow at least by 10% in 2025, with a possible further boost (around 4%) from tax reforms promised by President-Elect Trump during his campaign. 



From a strategic perspective, we maintain a NEUTRAL stance on EM, although our outlook remains under review for a potential upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. 
On the sector front, we maintain our strategic tilt toward Growth and Quality.​


Cosimo Recchia

Senior Equity Strategist

Investment Research


Marketing material for professional clients or qualified investors only. 
This material does not constitute an advice, an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. ANIMA can in no way be held responsible for any decision or investment made based on information contained in this document. The data and information contained in this document are deemed reliable, but ANIMA assumes no liability for their accuracy and completeness.
ANIMA accepts no liability whatsoever, whether direct or indirect, that may arise from the use of information contained in this material in violation of this disclaimer and the relevant provisions of the Supervisory Authorities.
This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the Prospectus, the KID, the Application Form and the Governing Rules (“Regolamento di Gestione”) before making any final investment decisions. These documents, which also describe the investor rights, can be obtained at any time free of charge on ANIMA website (www.animasgr.it). Hard copies of these documents can also be obtained from ANIMA upon request. The KIDs are available in the local official language of the country of distribution. The Prospectus is available in Italian/English. Past performances are not an indicator of future returns. The distribution of the product is subject to the assessment of suitability or adequacy required by current regulations. ANIMA reserves the right to amend the provided information at any time. The value of the investment and the resulting return may increase or decrease and, upon redemption, the investor may receive an amount lower than the one originally invested.
In case of collective investment undertakings distributed cross-border, ANIMA is entitled to terminate the provisions set for their marketing pursuant to Article 93 Bis of Directive 2009/65/EC.

​​​